PETALING JAYA: Malaysia’s declining Total Fertility Rate (TFR) has signalled the potential for a demographic disaster comparable to inhabitants development shrinking, ageing inhabitants, and financial and social implications.
Saying this, Chief Statistician Malaysia, Datuk Seri Dr Mohd Uzir Mahidin, identified that France and the UK have proactively responded to the difficulty of declining TFR, which might doubtlessly result in demographic disaster.
“They have pursued a technique of elevated migration to bolster their inhabitants numbers and labor forces. This strategy goals to mitigate the potential financial and demographic challenges related to declining fertility charges, comparable to ageing inhabitants and labour shortages,” he mentioned in an announcement at the moment.
The TFR in Malaysia began to say no under the alternative degree from 2013 onwards.
“The complete fertility rate (TFR) in 2022 declined to 1.6 youngsters for each girl aged 15-49 years as in comparison with 1.7 youngsters in 2021,” Mohd Uzir mentioned.
“This fertility rate was the bottom in 5 a long time with 4.9 youngsters per girl in 1970. Since 1970 as much as 2012, the nationwide TFR was nonetheless above the alternative degree of two.1 youngsters, which signifies that the common variety of youngsters born per girl all through her reproductive life has been adequate to exchange herself and her companion.”
Based on the Principles and Recommendations for A Vital Statistics (Revision 3), United Nations Statistics Division (2014) guide, the alternative degree of two.1 youngsters is the common variety of youngsters a lady would want to provide start by bearing a daughter who survives to childbearing age. If the alternative degree of fertility is sustained over a sufficiently lengthy interval, every technology will precisely change herself and her companion no matter inhabitants migration”.
In the Vital Statistics Malaysia 2023 launched by the Office of the Chief Statistician Malaysia, Department of Statistics Malaysia, the TFR for all main ethnic teams in Malaysia has proven a declining development for the interval of 2011 to 2022,
The highest TFR was recorded by Malay with 2.1 youngsters per girl aged 15-49 years. Chinese recorded the bottom TFR of 0.8 youngsters.
At the state degree, all states recorded TFR under the alternative degree besides three states specifically Terengganu (2.9 youngsters), Kelantan (2.7 youngsters) and Pahang (2.1 youngsters).
Malaysia, together with a number of developed international locations such because the US (1.7 youngsters), Australia (1.7 youngsters), the UK (1.6 youngsters), Japan (1.3 youngsters) and Republic of Korea (0.8 youngsters), have noticed a development of fertility charges falling under the alternative degree.
Similar traits have additionally noticed in Asean international locations specifically Vietnam (1.9 youngsters), Brunei (1.8 youngsters), Thailand (1.3 youngsters) and Singapore (1.1 youngsters), whereas the Philippines (2.7 youngsters), Lao PDR (2.5 youngsters), Cambodia (2.3 youngsters), Indonesia (2.2 youngsters) and Myanmar (2.2 youngsters) had been above alternative degree.
For the previous 5 a long time, TFR has been declining in all chosen international locations with the various declining tempo in response to their degree of fertility. There are few international locations which have confronted a decline within the degree of TFR under alternative the extent a lot earlier, specifically the UK (1973: 2.0 youngsters), Japan (1975: 1.9 youngsters), France (1976: 2.0 youngsters), Australia (1977: 2.0 youngsters) and Singapore (1977: 1.8 youngsters).
