PETALING JAYA: Pakatan Harapan might be in a position to retain the Simpang Jeram state seat within the by-election subsequent Saturday, however with a slim majority, an academic mentioned.
Mazlan Ali of Universiti Teknologi Malaysia mentioned based mostly on analysis he performed between Aug 29 and 31, slightly over 50% of the 600 voters he met within the constituency would again the coalition’s candidate, Nazri Abdul Rahman.
Some 19.83% of respondents in the meantime mentioned they might not vote for Nazri, who’s deputy chief of Amanah’s Bakri division.
There are about 40,379 registered voters within the constituency.
“PH will win the seat with a slim majority, on the idea that most of the outstation voters and younger voters would assist Perikatan Nasional,” he instructed eNM, including that his analysis didn’t embody outstation voters.
Mazlan added that PH was at the moment the favorite to emerge victorious on polling day, Sept 9. He mentioned voters had been extra acquainted with Nazri in contrast to Dr Mazri Yahya of PN and unbiased candidate S Jeganathan.
Two different elements had been in Nazri’s favour: the legacy left behind by the previous assemblyman, the late Salahuddin Ayub, and the recognition of Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, who’s PH chairman. Amanah is a member of PH.
In phrases of recognition, Nazri gained favour with 56.83% of these surveyed, adopted by Mazri with 27% and Jeganathan (8%). Mazlan mentioned Jeganathan is standard in a couple of city areas and suburban areas in addition to among the many Indian neighborhood.
“And whereas he’ll lose within the polls, he might break up the votes with his means to safe between 1,500 and 1,800 votes.”
Mazlan additionally mentioned 8.17% of the respondents in the meantime mentioned they might boycott all three candidates.
He mentioned 56.33% of respondents had been in favour of the PH and Barisan Nasional alliance, in contrast to the 26.67% who had been towards it.
The Simpang Jeram seat and Pulai parliamentary seat fell vacant following Salahuddin’s demise in July.
